Seaway synergy: Highway H2O unlocks Great Lakes potential

Competitive shipping relies upon resiliency, reliability and redundancy. Coupled with the opportunities that geopolitics, European Union and United Kingdom policies and shifts in trade partnerships bring, the Great Lakes hold potential opportunities not seen in the past decades.

The 20th annual Highway H2O Conference drew a crowd to Toronto for three days of discussion about these topics and the future of the bi-national St. Lawrence Seaway. The Seaway’s unique shared governance between Canada and the United States framed the event, reminding attendees that decisions on one side of the border ripple across all the Great Lakes.​ SSGA Director of Transportation & Regulatory Affairs Gary Williams attended and spoke at the event, hosted jointly by the St. Lawrence Seaway Management Corporation (SLSMC) and the U.S. Great Lakes St. Lawrence Seaway Development Corporation (GLS).

The attendees reflected the system’s complexity and potential. They included leaders of the two operating entities of the Seaway, including Administrator Mike McCoshen from the GLS and SLSMC President Jim Athanasiou, alongside shippers, freight brokers and forwarders, port and terminal leaders, regulatory and governmental agencies, and other Lakes/Seaway stakeholders. Their conversations carried a common thread: capacity exists on the system today, but realizing its competitive edge will take coordination, investment and a new way of thinking about freight.​

Williams presented about SSGA’s trade revitalization program designed to educate importers and exporters on the advantages of the Seaway and to actively address barriers that keep volumes below the corridor’s true capacity.​ The program is supported by the Ohio Soybean Council, Minnesota Soybean Research & Promotion Council, Wisconsin Soybean Marketing Board and Illinois Soybean Association.

At the heart of Williams’ story was the idea that the Seaway is not just an alternative route, but a strategic piece of a diversified transportation portfolio. He outlined how the corridor can complement rail, truck and coastal ocean routes, offering resilience, cost-competitiveness and environmental benefits that appeal to cargo owners looking for redundancy and lower emissions. Yet, he was direct about the challenge: lower current trade volumes can make it harder to build frequent services and justify new infrastructure, even though the physical capacity is already in place.​

Containerization entered the discussion as both a challenge and an aspiration. While some attendees talked about the long-term goal of establishing a dedicated feeder system on the Lakes, Williams urged the group not to wait for a perfect future model. Instead, he encouraged them to build the container market incrementally, leveraging the flexibility of many vessels already entering and leaving the Seaway that can carry containers alongside other cargoes.​

Williams invited stakeholders from across the value chain to join the trade revitalization program and deepen their understanding of the corridor’s potential. He pointed to the upcoming Transportation Go! conference April 8-9, 2026, in Chicago as a next touchpoint, encouraging participants to continue the conversation there and help shape solutions that turn today’s ideas into tomorrow’s sailings.

MARAD, FMC nominees call for bold action

Compiled by Gary Williams, Director of Transportation & Regulatory Affairs  

President Donald Trump’s newly nominated Maritime Administration (MARAD) chair, Stephen Carmel, appeared before the Senate Commerce Committee on Oct. 22 to pledge an aggressive focus on supply chain safety, connectivity and enhancing efficiency across America’s freight corridors.  

Carmel, bringing decades of leadership experience from roles as president of U.S. Marine Management and executive at Maersk Line Limited, opened his testimony with a message of strategic urgency: 

“A strong maritime sector is not nostalgia – it’s strategy. It means resilient supply chains we control; credible logistics for our joint forces; good jobs across our coasts, rivers and Great Lakes; and the freedom to move what America needs, when and where America needs it – under our own flag. We will not be the generation that stood on the sidelines and passively watched our noble industry die. We will be the generation that rebuilt it – stronger, smarter, faster and ready.” 

Carmel, a graduate of the U.S. Merchant Marine Academy with hands-on sea experience, is seen by congressional supporters as a policy expert and operations leader. Committee Chairman Ted Cruz (R-Texas) praised Carmel’s qualifications, stating he is “well versed in maritime operations and security,” and is expected to provide strategic advice for federal maritime policy. 

In parallel, President Trump’s nominees for the Federal Maritime Commission (FMC), Robert Harvey and Laura DiBella, outlined their vision to the committee. Harvey, referencing his background in securities litigation and financial regulation, emphasized, “Nothing gets an industry member’s attention like an enforcement action.”  

He promised close scrutiny of carrier alliances to root out anti-competitive practices and affirmed his goal to ensure that “FMC maintains a competitive and reliable international ocean transportation system and protects U.S. consumers, exporters and importers from unlawful, unfair and deceptive ocean transportation practices.”  

DiBella pointed to the realities of global carrier consolidation and asserted the FMC’s central role in ensuring American shippers are treated fairly despite these conditions, saying, “The carriers make the market. However, we need to provide some good oversight.” 

Both FMC nominees endorsed the Ocean Shipping Reform Act of 2022, but flagged ongoing concerns with detention and demurrage, calling for the agency to do more to “uncover efficiencies and why cargo is delayed.” Harvey noted the importance of encouraging innovation through regulation, arguing that fair and competitive markets will attract the private capital needed to solve chronic supply chain problems. 

Carmel used his appearance to urge more robust federal support to counter China’s global dominance in shipping, and he called for U.S. ports to adopt advanced technology to boost productivity.  

“We need to be using technology to leverage our labor and allow them to be more productive. We should use tech not to displace jobs, but to enhance them,” Carmel said.  

He warned that U.S. shipbuilding and merchant marine industries are “on a lifeline” and voiced support for the bipartisan SHIPS for America Act, which would foster domestic shipbuilding and expand the U.S.-flag fleet.  

On the need for demand generation, Carmel stated, “For ships in the international trade, we can’t build them at all. We don’t carry our own commerce. We need demand generation.” 

The Senate Commerce Committee, under Chairman Cruz, has yet to schedule a confirmation vote, with additional hearings expected on maritime policy priorities, including shipbuilding, workforce development, and initiatives such as the Martial Action Plan. Bipartisan leaders like Senator Dan Sullivan (R-Alaska) emphasized that U.S. shipyard capacity and workforce resiliency are essential to offset international competition, particularly from China, and to protect U.S. strategic and economic interests in regions such as the Arctic. 

For more information about the nominee hearings, read this article from Journal of Commerce.

Section 301 maritime tariffs take effect: What shippers need to know

By Gary Williams, SSG Director of Transportation & Regulatory Affairs

As of Oct. 14, the U.S. Trade Representative’s (USTR) Section 301 tariffs and fees targeting Chinese-built and Chinese-owned vessels officially take effect, marking a pivotal shift in global maritime logistics and port operations.

Under the new rules, China-built vessels will be tracked and assessed a service fee of $46 per ton upon their first U.S. port of entry, with a cap on how many times each vessel can be charged annually. According to USTR documentation, these measures are designed to strengthen U.S. shipbuilding and reduce reliance on Chinese maritime assets.

At the same time, the USTR confirmed that 100 percent tariffs will remain in place on Chinese ship-to-shore cranes, intermodal chassis, and certain cargo-handling equipment, while removing planned duties on shipping containers — a significant outcome for importers and carriers alike. The tariffs on cranes and handling machinery will take effect on Nov. 9.

Most major ocean carriers have indicated their capability to shift fleet deployment strategies to avoid routing Chinese-built ships into U.S. ports, minimizing tariff exposure. Meanwhile, COSCO and OOCL — the two main China-owned container lines — have pledged not to pass the new fees on to customers.

During the ongoing government funding gap, federal agencies have indicated that tariff enforcement and vessel tracking will continue uninterrupted. China, for its part, has implemented reciprocal port fees on U.S.-built and U.S.-owned vessels that mirror the American structure and rates as they rise over time.

Whether or not fees are incurred and passed along at some point will likely never be well known. Shippers do not see the underlying rail rates, ocean carrier allocations, or voyage data that define total freight costs, complicating forecasting and competitiveness. Steam ship lines will set their rates at an equilibrium price that assumes cost off set by rate and volume – same as always. The pricing matrix assures that that shippers and importers would not have any clarity as to the actual math that has gone into a rate.

For SSGA member shippers, the removal of containers from the tariff list represents a notable win. The 100 percent tariff on cranes and chassis remains challenging, especially given the blend of privately owned and steamship-line-operated assets in circulation — but the collective advocacy of U.S. logistics, transportation and agricultural groups helped shape the final outcome into a much more manageable likely outcome than what was imagined when the proposal was first made.

The collaboration of SSGA among other trade associations and exporters, including the American Soybean Association, U.S. Soybean Export Council, Soybean Transportation Coalition, National Grain and Feed Association and the National Retail Federation — played a vital role in ensuring practical input was considered.

For additional details and official documentation, see the USTR October 10, 2025, notice and Section 301 maritime actions.

 

Schneider highlights takeaways from SSGA DC meetings

Ahead of Soy Connext, an SSGA delegation met with policymakers and agency leaders in Washington, D.C., to advance the association’s transportation and program priorities.

The delegation was led by Jennifer Schneider, newly appointed chair of SSGA’s Competitive Shipping action team, and Gary Williams, SSGA’s director of transportation & regulatory affairs. They held meetings with Federal Maritime Commission (FMC) Commissioners Max Vekich, Rebecca Dye and Daniel Maffei focusing on issues such as Section 301 tariffs on Chinese-built ships, earliest return dates (ERDs) and container availability at inland intermodal points.

Schneider emphasized the positive and collaborative nature of the discussions. A central takeaway was the critical importance of documentation, especially regarding ERDs. FMC Commissioners encouraged SSGA to continue tracking and collecting concrete, evidence-based examples of issues being experienced, their frequency and the impact on business operations to better communicate the actual effects exporters are experiencing.

“What really jumped out to me during my first time in D.C. with SSGA was the willingness of everyone to listen and share pathways that can be followed for seeking solutions,” said Schneider, who works at Puris in Randolph, Minn. “FMC commissioners gave great suggestions on how to navigate within FMC with ERD suggestions. Going forward, documentation will be a key priority for the Competitive Shipping action team and SSGA members.”

SSGA also shared progress on programs with the St. Lawrence Seaway Trade Revitalization program, meeting with newly appointed Administrator Mike McCoshen of the U.S. St. Lawrence Seaway Administration and key staff, as well as with others discussing this and other priorities of SSGA and its Competitive Shipping action team. The visits underscored the importance of collaboration with other organizations on policy and regulatory issues.

During a meeting with Allison Rivera, Vice President, Government and Legislative Affairs for National Grain and Feed Association (NGFA), the participants found common ground on several issues, including higher trucking weights across the nation for transporting agricultural goods. SSGA has been a voice for requesting pressure on U.S. Trade Representative to answer questions and provide clarity on the section 301 tariffs, particularly questions provided by the NGFA.

SSGA’s meetings in Washington also included visits with USDA Animal and Plant Health Inspection Service staff to provide updates and discuss plans for the High Quality Specialty Grains (HQSG) program. Congressional outreach included staff briefings for Reps. Angie Craig (D-MN), Brad Finstad (R-MN) and Rep. Robin Kelly (D-IL).

SSGA seeking clarity from DC on urgent trade matters

By Gary Williams, SSGA Director of Transportation & Regulatory Affairs 

With the U.S. Trade Representative’s (USTR) proposed tariffs still set for possible implementation this October, grain trade and other impacted industries continue to await clear answers on critical details. Despite repeated outreach, there has been little response from USTR to specific questions raised by stakeholders. 

In recent coordination calls with the National Grain and Feed Association, the National Retail Federation, port authorities, and other groups, there is a growing consensus that the most effective strategy now is to direct advocacy efforts toward legislators and other key influencers. The goal: to press USTR for feedback, details and clarity before the proposed policy takes effect. 

While USTR has acknowledged some points – such as the idea of removing penalties on carriers that own China-built vessels and inviting comments on potential tariffs for China-built ship-to-shore cranes, containers, and chassis – questions remain unanswered regarding the proposed tariffs on China-built vessels arriving at U.S. ports. 

If implemented, the policy could create winners and losers within the shipping industry. Some carriers, like COSCO and OOCL, whose fleets are largely or entirely China-built, may face significant tariff exposure. Others, with more diversified fleets, might reallocate vessels strategically to limit tariff impacts. However, such rerouting could reduce port calls, potentially creating new challenges in container availability and port congestion. Even carriers able to avoid direct tariffs might still impose additional charges on shippers – similar in concept to corridor fees – as a hedge against operational risk. 

For SSGA members, the stakes are high. With fall harvest approaching, contract terms vary: in some cases, customers pay the prevailing rate for container moves; in others, sellers absorb costs above a base rate. Without clarity from USTR, it is difficult to forecast impacts on demand, profit margins and inventory flow. 

Next week, members of SSGA’s Executive Board, staff and the newly appointed chair of the Competitive Shipping Action Team will meet with legislators and federal agencies in Washington, D.C. This issue will be front and center in nearly every discussion, as SSGA continues to voice the urgent need for answers before any tariff changes take effect. 

Keys to collaborating: WSMB partners with SSGA on St. Lawrence Seaway project

This article was submitted by the Wisconsin Soybean Marketing Board as part of its Transportation Go! sponsorship.

Wisconsin may not have ocean front property, but it does have lakeside property, which some may argue is even better. 

And two of those lakes are great ones – Lake Superior and Lake Michigan – which offer an entrance to the St. Lawrence Seaway and a gateway to European markets for Wisconsin-grown soy. 

To further explore the market export opportunities via the Great Lakes and St. Lawrence Seaway, the Wisconsin Soybean Marketing Board (WSMB) is investing checkoff dollars in various projects, including one with the Specialty Soya and Grains Alliance (SSGA) titled, “St. Lawrence Seaway Revitalization.” 

“As the organization that oversees the investment of Wisconsin soybean checkoff dollars, it’s important that we explore new market export opportunities,” said WSMB President Jonathan Gibbs. “Collaborating with SSGA on this project is essential to continue developing and capitalizing on the opportunities the St. Lawrence Seaway has to offer.” 

Why the St. Lawrence Seaway? 

“Geopolitical and policy shifts, changes in Europe around non-deforestation, sustainability, traceability, regenerative validation and other consumer demands have continued to point toward changing needs,” said Gary Williams, SSGA’s director of transportation and regulatory affairs. “Additionally, if containers can be advantaged by moving through the St. Lawrence Seaway, the possibility exists to recreate an inland supply of containers that is eroding badly due to carrier lines incentivizing their equipment to remain near the landing port – Los Angeles, for example – instead of moving inland.” 

One of the goals of the project is to increase the export of Wisconsin value-added soybeans and other crops through Milwaukee and Superior ports. 

“To reach these objectives our project primarily promotes and educates those that influence and make decisions on transportation routing, so that the St. Lawrence Seaway is considered as a transportation alternative,” Williams said. “It also identifies and helps bring about investment in increasing the different types of cargo to increase overall handle volume and further enabling matching of freight cargo together.” 

Focused on the transportation and shipping of high-value, identity preserved field crops by container, SSGA completed Phase 1 of the project last year, which included a farmer-led trade mission to Rotterdam, Amsterdam, and Antwerp, Belgium, following a See for Yourself Port of Halifax tour in 2023. 

“We held well-attended events with the route decision makers for goods and products moving between the U.S. and Europe in Rotterdam,” Williams said. “Progress will be a long mission and keeping the route at the front of people’s minds is the first step. As volume increases on the Seaway, the attraction will increase due to cost and logistical efficiencies.” 

Recent domestic and international events, from infrastructure disaster to geopolitical instability, underscore the need for exploring viable, alternative trade routes.  

“With a backdrop of pending strikes, global insecurity and potential policy change, along with a disaster that hampered Baltimore for a period of time, our message urging the necessity of having a transportation system that is flexible, adaptable and able to keep continuity resonated,” Williams said. “All seem to agree that the coming decade will be far more disrupted than the last few decades we have navigated through, and the audience is a willing listener to the promotion of the St. Lawrence Seaway.” 

When soybeans leave Wisconsin fields, they don’t magically arrive at end destinations. The amount of effort that goes into making sure that soybeans find their home is surprising to many, but WSMB understands the crucial work that happens in the transportation industry behind the scenes. 

WSMB’s goal of directing checkoff dollars in three core areas – production research, market development and new uses – and improving the profitability for all soybean farmers is reflected in its partnership with SSGA.  

“Whether a Wisconsin farmer delivers to a rail point, a Great Lakes terminal point or Mississippi River location, having viable and competitive transportation avenues to markets has an effect on the basis for all producers,” Williams said. “Collaboration is key in these complex, large solutions such as the one we have embarked upon.”  

Section 301 tariffs update: The elephant stirs

By Gary Williams, SSGA Director of Transportation & Regulatory Affairs 

In a favorable turn based upon hearing and considering comment on the initial proposal set forth by the U.S. Trade Representative (USTR), a revision was released April 17 noting a summary of comments made, and the resulting change in proposal for Section 301 tariffs regarding ship build. 

Among these: 

  1. A shift from a flat fee mechanism to a net tonnage basis for any China-built ship starting at $0 from Oct. 14, 2025, increasing to $50 per net ton after 180 days, and increasing thus on an annual basis for three years (or the higher of this or a per container fee). 
  2. Now, only the first port of entry will result in a charge being levied instead of a charge at each port stop on a route. This would have meant ports such as Oakland were likely to get dropped and predicted high congestion at ports such as Los Angeles.
  3. Any such fee on a vessel would be limited to being assessed five times per year – puts a ceiling on some of the costs attributed to a single vessel plying a regular route.
  4. The definition of the affected is now described as any Chinese vessel operator and on any vessel owned by Chinese entity.
  5. U.S. vessels enrolled in certain U.S. Maritime Administration programs, vessels arriving empty or in ballast, smaller vessels and specialized export vessels are all exempt.
  6. “Credit” remains in place upon order and until delivery for any U.S. built vessel of equal or greater capacity to offset a China-built vessel penalty for a period not to exceed three years.
  7. USTR has withdrawn the penalties originally proposed for orders of vessels at Chinese shipyards.
  8. Vehicle carriers were added to the list of vessels that would be penalized if China-built.
  9. The export tariffs originally proposed for using China built vessels was eliminated, save for LNG exports, which would phase in starting in 2028, and gradually increasing over a period of 22 years. Exporters would need to have reached a threshold of using at least 15% U.S. built vessels by 2047.
  10. Ship to shore cranes manufactured, assembled, or using components of Chinese origin (or manufactured anywhere in the world by a Chinese owned entity), are targeted for duties up to 100%. Additional cargo handling equipment of China would also be subject to the same (containers, chassis, chassis parts, spreaders/twist locks). 

The USTR was thorough in providing feedback on summarizing what commenters had said both in support and opposed to the original proposal as written. I read many of the written comments submitted during the comment period and found I agreed with their summations. They further invite comments, which opened April 17, and will close May 8, regarding:    

  1. The specific products to be subjected to increased duties, including whether ship to shore cranes, chassis, and containers should be retained or removed (or if anything should be added).
  2. The level of increase, if any in the rate of duty. 
  3. Whether the increased duties should take place at once in 180 days, or be phased in from six months to 24 months. 

The Section 301 committee will convene a public hearing May 19, 2025. 

Certain positives exist in view of the process. First, USTR was willing to eliminate some of the proposed revisions and considered comments on impacts detrimental to exporters as well as importers. Second, they have worked in a “shock factor” to give at a minimum six months from October 2025 (April 2026) for the supply chain to consider alternatives, and more time for ship build capacity in the U.S. to progress so that there is more of an opportunity to mitigate costs. 

Some calculators have been at work and seemingly $120/container is a working number of what would be expected in costs likely passed along – presumably to be allocated between import and export use of the container, product value carried, etc., and likely embedded in container lines quoted rates, although they might show initially as they have for security fees and alameda corridor fees in the past. 

Whatever the comments made on the next round, it seems they will need to provide a solution or alternative that should be sought to correct for the intended purpose of penalizing China’s believed manipulation to gain control of the ship build market share globally, and to revitalize U.S. ship building capability. USTR’s comments are clear that asking them to “forget the whole thing” is not in their interest.   

We’d like to get your feedback as well. Contact Competitive Shipping action team Chair Tina Lyons or myself with your thoughts, comments or questions. 

On the move: SDSRPC sponsors Transportation Go! conference

Transportation is essential to South Dakota farmers. Being a mostly agricultural state that exports nearly 40% of its farm products, commodities need to find their way out of the state to trade partners around the world. However, being located in the middle of the country creates some roadblocks.  

“The distance is some of it,” said Derrick Scott, District 2 director and Treasurer of the South Dakota Soybean Research & Promotion Council (SDSRPC). “We have somewhat of a rail network – it does the job but it’s not as expansive as other states. We don’t have use of our river due to the dam system that is on it, so we aren’t able to transport via water.” 

These issues were some of the topics of discussion at Transportation Go!, hosted by the Specialty Soya Grains Alliance (SSGA) in Minneapolis in March. SDSRPC is proud to sponsor the event. 

“This was my first time there, and I was very happy with the meeting: great group of speakers, great lineup,” Scot said. “They really delved into all different facets of transportation. We’re going to get more members to go next year.” 

With 60% of South Dakota’s soybeans leaving the country, it’s imperative that the soybean checkoff invests in projects and events like Transportation Go! to ensure their products arrive to customers. South Dakota soybeans typically leave the U.S. via the Pacific Northwest for countries in Southeast Asia. To get there, they are shipped by truck or rail – South Dakota has an interstate highway system and direct rail lines to the West Coast. This infrastructure allows products to leave the country cheaper and faster than competitors. 

“South America is our main competitor for soybeans, and they have a lot of issues when it comes to transportation,” Scott said. “The United States is leaps and bounds ahead of them as far as getting our product moved in a safe and in a quick nature. We’re able to get things out of here quickly, and the quality is maintained along that transport chain.”  

South Dakota lawmakers are also active in supporting agricultural transportation. In Washington, D.C., Senate Majority Leader John Thune has supported bills such as the Ocean Shipping Reform Act, which was passed into law in 2022. 

“The Ocean Shipping Reform Act was pivotal, as it defined the role of the Federal Maritime Commission as having authority to rule upon and assess penalties upon container carriers on matters for example, relating to detention and demurrage charges without proper information being documented or a process to dispute charges,” Gary Williams, director of transportation and regulatory affairs for SSGA, said. “Shippers’ rights and fairness are now protected by this process of being able to present their case to the FMC for investigation.” 

SDSRPC also invests in organizations like the Soy Transportation Coalition, which seeks efficient transportation for soy shippers and customers.  

Argus Murmurings: Argentina FX change will support exports to US

Organic soybean imports in March 2025 were estimated at 19,600 MT, down 31pc from the same month in the prior year. Ukraine supplied 16,000 MT and Canada supplied the remaining 3,600t. 

The Argus AgriMarkets Organic and non-GMO service weekly delivered spot price for feed-grade organic soybeans delivered to the U.S. Corn Belt for the week ended April 17, 2025, was $20.29/bushel, which is up $0.15 from a month prior and $0.81 from a year prior.  

The devaluation of the Argentinean peso will make Argentinean organic soybeans more price-competitive in the U.S., market contacts said. The devaluation of the peso will make Argentinean imports cheaper for U.S. buyers and Argentinian farmers will receive more pesos per dollar. 

There are little-to-no-remaining stocks of old crop organic soybeans remaining in Argentina, but the devaluation will affect new crop sales, market contacts said. New crop sales so far were below historical levels because of buyers hesitating to lock in volume before there was more certainty on tariffs. Lower buying activity from typical U.S. importers could leave more organic soybeans to be purchased by other importers. 

Shipments of new crop organic soybeans will begin in June, market contacts said. Argentinean farmers increased their organic soybean acreage because of the low profitability of organic corn. A drought earlier in the season did damage the crop, but yields are expected to be close to historical levels. 

Tariffs and… tariffs: where do we go from here

By Gary Williams, Director of Transportation & Regulatory Affairs

You can’t even call it the elephant in the room – the tariff elephant is smoking a pipe, with comfy loafers on and reclined in the living room by the fire in my house.

I’m sure you, like myself, go through your daily work, tackling what needs to be done and ensuring that what is charged of you to continue gainful employment and ensuring viable business happens. If you are also like me, every fourth or fifth thought goes to, “but what if…”

Here’s what we do know about the Section 301 proposal on China-built ship tariffs:

The U.S. Trade Representative (USTR) closed their comment period March 25, as reported in last issue, and SSGA participated in providing written comment. A copy of that comment letter is linked here.

SSGA further provided a signature as a supporting party along with more than 320 parties on a coalition of shipping and importing organizations on a letter drafted by the National Retailers Federation and an even larger number of signatures (perhaps double) of agricultural organizations and companies on a letter drafted by the National Grain and Feed Association.

Several organizations were called upon to give comments to the USTR in the week that followed, and a letter was drafted to the USTR by 18 members of Congress to express concern on impacts.

It’s expected by mid-April we will get our next look at what USTR has modified (or not) in the Section 301 proposal on China Built Ship Tariffs.

There is absolutely no doubt that any tariffs that are implemented will be passed through to be paid by the shipper (unless exemptions are issued). Some container lines have already issued their policy that ANY costs associated with tariffs will be for the account of the shipper. If you have containers headed to the port, and an effective date of May 1 is reached, for example, that box will be assessed the fee that the steamship line (SSL) deems as representative of their likely cost due to the tariff being imposed. It’s cloudy whether these fees would be due immediate/upon freight bill becoming due for payment, or at a quarterly or annual billing date. It’s also unclear whether that fee will be weighted by value of the freight bill being paid (import pays a much larger portion or fee than ag export), whether it’s a flat fee, or how a calculation is made. One assumes that SSLs have some understanding of where the cost structure breaks ag exports, so one assumes it will be weighted.

In a time that SSGA has had a constant drumbeat on the obligation inherent in conveying goods into the U.S., carrying with it an obligation to provide conveyance for U.S. exports, an overburden of these tariffs placed on the exporter will certainly break their back and create a state of duress for our members.

According to the USTR proposal, there is presumably a credit that is earned against tariffs for placing a U.S.-built vessel into port – I don’t know if the SSLs are creating a mechanism to credit this back, or it’s considered a “windfall” when it happens.

The container exporter is powerless to ascertain or make demands upon an SSL to provide non-China built ships, and/or owned by owners with a very low number of China-built vessels in their fleet, so exporters are price takers, not makers, and will dig out of their wallets accordingly.

What will the final version look like? The elephant keeps repeating “no comment.”